Popcorn Item No: Artist: Frank Minion. Titel: How Much Land, Watermelon. Label: Popcorn. So What New York, Night In Tunisia. Frank Minion Watermelon. Frank Minion Later.
Little bits of variance give weaker players a chance to beat better players, lead to games that play out differently every time, add excitement to draw steps, and make for interesting deck building decisions. But while a little bit of randomness is fun, too much randomness is not. Likewise, if random Aetherworks Marvel spins decide too many games, then players may feel that the game is out of their hands.
Besides cycling lands, creaturelands, or land-search effects with an alternative ability in the late game, there are plenty of other cards that help mitigate mana flood, and these are invaluable tools for any Constructed deck.
It is somewhat surprising to me that in comparison, there seem to be fewer cards that mitigate mana screw. To some extent, the above-mentioned cards help a little bit because they incentivize people to add more lands to their deck. But mana screws still happen from time to time, even with inflated land counts, and then there are not many cards that can help you. Just a random thought. Back to the math.
For my second method of providing insight into the question of how many lands you need, I went over the last 3 Pro Tours Kaladesh , Aether Revolt , and Amonkhet. I grabbed all Top 8 deck lists and all deck lists outside of the Top 8 that went or better in Standard.
This yielded 78 deck lists in total. For each of these decks, I noted down the number of lands including, for this purpose, Attune with Aether and Traverse the Ulvenwald and the average converted mana cost of nonland cards. Because nearly every one of these Standard deck had between 22 and 26 lands—with 24 the most common number by far, I then also added the Top 8 decks of the last 4 Modern Grand Prix events Kobe, Copenhagen, Vancouver, and Brisbane, for a total of 32 decks to get some decks with more extreme numbers of lands.
My method also counted Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger as a card with converted mana cost 10, which is not completely fair either. But with the time I had available, I was able to assemble a data set whose quality I would call sufficient. On a scatterplot for all decks, I plotted the best-fitting line for all the data points. Specifically, I used the least squares approach from simple linear regression to minimize the sum of the squared distances between the fitted line and all the data points.
I got a reasonable R-squared value loosely speaking, a statistical measure of how close the data points are to the fitted line of 0. The fitted model, based on my data set, is that the number of lands in a deck is given by 16 plus 3. But you can at least get a rough guideline from this analysis.
An interesting observation is that the decks that won the last 3 Pro Tours, pointed out in red, all lie all above the regression line. Combining key numbers from both methodologies in a single table, I can offer a suite of recommendations for card decks. I hope that my analysis will prove useful to deck builders all around the world. Skip to content. To determine the probability of hitting your 4th land drop, I will assume the following mulligan strategy: You mulligan any 7-card hand with 0, 1, 6, or 7 lands.
You mulligan any 6-card hand with 0, 1, 5, or 6 lands. Magdalena Frank Zappa. Discuss these how much land does a man need by frank minion Lyrics with the community: 0 Comments. Notify me of new comments via email. Cancel Report. Create a new account. Log In. We need you! Help build the largest human-edited lyrics collection on the web!
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